Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 11%
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F或更高
2%
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 11%
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F或更高
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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