Latest model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 hovering near 17–18 °C, with trader consensus reflected in the tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split between those bins. Subtle differences hinge on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies allow greater radiative cooling toward 17 °C, while increased low-level moisture or light northeasterly flow limits the drop to 18–19 °C. Atlantic trough timing and urban heat-island effects add further spread in ensemble members. Resolution will follow official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris after midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日巴黎最低溫度？
8月9日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 36%
17°C 29%
19°C 24%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
36%
19°C
24%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
18°C 36%
17°C 29%
19°C 24%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或以下
$74 交易量
1%
15°C
$150 交易量
2%
16°C
$369 交易量
8%
17°C
$177 交易量
29%
18°C
$345 交易量
36%
19°C
$245 交易量
24%
20°C
$107 交易量
5%
21°C
$442 交易量
5%
22°C
$576 交易量
1%
23°C
$592 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 hovering near 17–18 °C, with trader consensus reflected in the tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split between those bins. Subtle differences hinge on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies allow greater radiative cooling toward 17 °C, while increased low-level moisture or light northeasterly flow limits the drop to 18–19 °C. Atlantic trough timing and urban heat-island effects add further spread in ensemble members. Resolution will follow official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris after midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,157結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 hovering near 17–18 °C, with trader consensus reflected in the tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split between those bins. Subtle differences hinge on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies allow greater radiative cooling toward 17 °C, while increased low-level moisture or light northeasterly flow limits the drop to 18–19 °C. Atlantic trough timing and urban heat-island effects add further spread in ensemble members. Resolution will follow official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris after midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,157結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 hovering near 17–18 °C, with trader consensus reflected in the tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split between those bins. Subtle differences hinge on nocturnal cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer skies allow greater radiative cooling toward 17 °C, while increased low-level moisture or light northeasterly flow limits the drop to 18–19 °C. Atlantic trough timing and urban heat-island effects add further spread in ensemble members. Resolution will follow official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris after midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions