Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日巴黎最低溫度?
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
16°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$12,209 交易量
$12,209 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
16°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$12,209 交易量
$12,209 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions