Recent observations of daytime highs reaching 37°C earlier in August, combined with persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon patterns, underpin trader consensus for a 36°C peak in Taipei on August 10. Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models show strong agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near this threshold, supported by climatological baselines where early-August averages hover around 33–34°C but recent heat anomalies have pushed readings higher. Uncertainties in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, localized sea-breeze effects, or an unexpected shift in steering currents could alter realized maxima, though current observational trends and model runs limit the scope for significant deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日臺北氣溫最高？
8月10日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$86,364 交易量
$86,364 交易量
2026-08-10
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$86,364 交易量
$86,364 交易量
2026-08-10
30°C or below
$9,216 交易量
No
31°C
$2,333 交易量
No
32°C
$7,257 交易量
No
33°C
$7,150 交易量
No
34°C
$11,185 交易量
No
35°C
$12,016 交易量
No
36°C
$12,111 交易量
Yes
37°C
$8,267 交易量
No
38°C
$7,557 交易量
No
39°C
$5,472 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$3,801 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of daytime highs reaching 37°C earlier in August, combined with persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon patterns, underpin trader consensus for a 36°C peak in Taipei on August 10. Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models show strong agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near this threshold, supported by climatological baselines where early-August averages hover around 33–34°C but recent heat anomalies have pushed readings higher. Uncertainties in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, localized sea-breeze effects, or an unexpected shift in steering currents could alter realized maxima, though current observational trends and model runs limit the scope for significant deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$86,364結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations of daytime highs reaching 37°C earlier in August, combined with persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon patterns, underpin trader consensus for a 36°C peak in Taipei on August 10. Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models show strong agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near this threshold, supported by climatological baselines where early-August averages hover around 33–34°C but recent heat anomalies have pushed readings higher. Uncertainties in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, localized sea-breeze effects, or an unexpected shift in steering currents could alter realized maxima, though current observational trends and model runs limit the scope for significant deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86,364結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent observations of daytime highs reaching 37°C earlier in August, combined with persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon patterns, underpin trader consensus for a 36°C peak in Taipei on August 10. Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models show strong agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near this threshold, supported by climatological baselines where early-August averages hover around 33–34°C but recent heat anomalies have pushed readings higher. Uncertainties in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, localized sea-breeze effects, or an unexpected shift in steering currents could alter realized maxima, though current observational trends and model runs limit the scope for significant deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions