Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles confirm a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that narrow bin. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate onshore flow and limited daytime heating under a stable marine layer typical for early August in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical climatology shows mean highs near 82°F, with recent model runs and surface observations placing the actual peak squarely in the resolved range. While post-analysis revisions to station data remain theoretically possible, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are finalized, leaving little room for alternative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月9日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月9日的最高溫度？
80-81華氏度 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,064 交易量
$73,064 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81華氏度
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
80-81華氏度 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,064 交易量
$73,064 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏71度或以下
$545 交易量
否
72-73°F
$503 交易量
否
74-75°F
$3,883 交易量
否
76-77°F
$13,761 交易量
否
78-79°F
$20,650 交易量
否
80-81華氏度
$14,347 交易量
是
82-83°F
$9,288 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,923 交易量
否
86-87°F
$882 交易量
否
88-89°F
$3,108 交易量
否
華氏90度或以上
$3,174 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles confirm a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that narrow bin. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate onshore flow and limited daytime heating under a stable marine layer typical for early August in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical climatology shows mean highs near 82°F, with recent model runs and surface observations placing the actual peak squarely in the resolved range. While post-analysis revisions to station data remain theoretically possible, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are finalized, leaving little room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$73,064結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles confirm a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that narrow bin. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate onshore flow and limited daytime heating under a stable marine layer typical for early August in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical climatology shows mean highs near 82°F, with recent model runs and surface observations placing the actual peak squarely in the resolved range. While post-analysis revisions to station data remain theoretically possible, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are finalized, leaving little room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,064結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles confirm a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that narrow bin. This outcome aligns with observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate onshore flow and limited daytime heating under a stable marine layer typical for early August in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical climatology shows mean highs near 82°F, with recent model runs and surface observations placing the actual peak squarely in the resolved range. While post-analysis revisions to station data remain theoretically possible, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are finalized, leaving little room for alternative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions