Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain high for Istanbul on August 12, reflecting stable summer conditions and short-range forecast consensus around the long-term August average of 28°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows typical daytime maxima in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies, with no significant heatwave, frontal system, or anomalous advection altering the pattern. Real-time observations throughout the day, including airport and urban station readings, align closely with this value. A late-day surge in insolation or unexpected clear-sky development could push the maximum above 28°C, while increased cloud cover or marine influence might cap it lower, though current model agreement and timing leave little room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,468 交易量
$35,468 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,468 交易量
$35,468 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
$379 交易量
No
24°C
$434 交易量
No
25°C
$1,652 交易量
No
26°C
$1,793 交易量
No
27°C
$6,367 交易量
No
28°C
$9,702 交易量
Yes
29°C
$6,243 交易量
No
30°C
$2,647 交易量
No
31°C
$3,167 交易量
No
32°C
$1,273 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$1,810 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain high for Istanbul on August 12, reflecting stable summer conditions and short-range forecast consensus around the long-term August average of 28°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows typical daytime maxima in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies, with no significant heatwave, frontal system, or anomalous advection altering the pattern. Real-time observations throughout the day, including airport and urban station readings, align closely with this value. A late-day surge in insolation or unexpected clear-sky development could push the maximum above 28°C, while increased cloud cover or marine influence might cap it lower, though current model agreement and timing leave little room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$35,468結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain high for Istanbul on August 12, reflecting stable summer conditions and short-range forecast consensus around the long-term August average of 28°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows typical daytime maxima in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies, with no significant heatwave, frontal system, or anomalous advection altering the pattern. Real-time observations throughout the day, including airport and urban station readings, align closely with this value. A late-day surge in insolation or unexpected clear-sky development could push the maximum above 28°C, while increased cloud cover or marine influence might cap it lower, though current model agreement and timing leave little room for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,468結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain high for Istanbul on August 12, reflecting stable summer conditions and short-range forecast consensus around the long-term August average of 28°C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows typical daytime maxima in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies, with no significant heatwave, frontal system, or anomalous advection altering the pattern. Real-time observations throughout the day, including airport and urban station readings, align closely with this value. A late-day surge in insolation or unexpected clear-sky development could push the maximum above 28°C, while increased cloud cover or marine influence might cap it lower, though current model agreement and timing leave little room for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions