**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 12 high centers on 32–33°C because long-term August climatology and current model guidance place typical daily maxima in this narrow band.** Coastal Karachi experiences moderated temperatures during the late southwest monsoon, with high humidity, cloud cover, and sea breezes capping peaks; historical averages hover near 31–32°C, while August 2026 outlooks from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) indicate above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced cloudiness from lighter monsoon activity allows more solar heating without triggering strong convective cooling or heatwave conditions. Recent surface observations and ensemble forecasts show stable hot-humid setups with no major steering patterns or intensification signals that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated PMD daily guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will further refine resolution odds as the market approaches settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
33°C 44%
32°C 30%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
30%
33°C
44%
34°C
14%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 30%
34°C 14%
31°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
30%
33°C
44%
34°C
14%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 12 high centers on 32–33°C because long-term August climatology and current model guidance place typical daily maxima in this narrow band.** Coastal Karachi experiences moderated temperatures during the late southwest monsoon, with high humidity, cloud cover, and sea breezes capping peaks; historical averages hover near 31–32°C, while August 2026 outlooks from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) indicate above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced cloudiness from lighter monsoon activity allows more solar heating without triggering strong convective cooling or heatwave conditions. Recent surface observations and ensemble forecasts show stable hot-humid setups with no major steering patterns or intensification signals that would push readings to 34°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated PMD daily guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will further refine resolution odds as the market approaches settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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