Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's August 11 maximum near 31–32 °C under high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Official outlooks from DWD-aligned sources and extended guidance show daytime peaks in the low 30s Celsius, with limited cloud cover or precipitation risk that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though small shifts in 850 hPa thickness or afternoon mixing could still push readings a degree either side. Historical August extremes for the region average 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomaly and supporting elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C buckets ahead of the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月11日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
33°C 18%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
31%
32°C
37%
33°C
18%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
33°C 18%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
27°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
5%
30°C
$138 交易量
14%
31°C
$168 交易量
31%
32°C
$11 交易量
37%
33°C
$22 交易量
18%
34°C
$5 交易量
6%
35°C
$33 交易量
2%
36°C
$10 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's August 11 maximum near 31–32 °C under high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Official outlooks from DWD-aligned sources and extended guidance show daytime peaks in the low 30s Celsius, with limited cloud cover or precipitation risk that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though small shifts in 850 hPa thickness or afternoon mixing could still push readings a degree either side. Historical August extremes for the region average 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomaly and supporting elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C buckets ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$407結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's August 11 maximum near 31–32 °C under high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Official outlooks from DWD-aligned sources and extended guidance show daytime peaks in the low 30s Celsius, with limited cloud cover or precipitation risk that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though small shifts in 850 hPa thickness or afternoon mixing could still push readings a degree either side. Historical August extremes for the region average 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomaly and supporting elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C buckets ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$407結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Munich's August 11 maximum near 31–32 °C under high pressure, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Official outlooks from DWD-aligned sources and extended guidance show daytime peaks in the low 30s Celsius, with limited cloud cover or precipitation risk that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though small shifts in 850 hPa thickness or afternoon mixing could still push readings a degree either side. Historical August extremes for the region average 23–25 °C, underscoring the current anomaly and supporting elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C buckets ahead of the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions