Recent Met Office observations and model consensus have locked in a 24°C daily maximum for London on August 11, 2026, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, persistent afternoon cloud cover, and stable high pressure suppressed solar heating and limited daytime warming after the 26°C peak recorded the prior day. Official station data, typically benchmarked at London City Airport, align with these conditions, leaving minimal scope for upward revision. Only a significant measurement error or reanalysis adjustment could alter the recorded maximum, though such revisions are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月11日倫敦的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$171,072 交易量
$171,072 交易量
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$171,072 交易量
$171,072 交易量
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
$4,428 交易量
否
21°C
$12,010 交易量
否
22°C
$19,209 交易量
否
23°C
$26,595 交易量
否
24°C
$30,399 交易量
是
25°C
$24,914 交易量
否
26°C
$17,033 交易量
否
27°C
$14,950 交易量
否
28°C
$8,048 交易量
否
29°C
$5,139 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$8,348 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and model consensus have locked in a 24°C daily maximum for London on August 11, 2026, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, persistent afternoon cloud cover, and stable high pressure suppressed solar heating and limited daytime warming after the 26°C peak recorded the prior day. Official station data, typically benchmarked at London City Airport, align with these conditions, leaving minimal scope for upward revision. Only a significant measurement error or reanalysis adjustment could alter the recorded maximum, though such revisions are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$171,072結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and model consensus have locked in a 24°C daily maximum for London on August 11, 2026, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, persistent afternoon cloud cover, and stable high pressure suppressed solar heating and limited daytime warming after the 26°C peak recorded the prior day. Official station data, typically benchmarked at London City Airport, align with these conditions, leaving minimal scope for upward revision. Only a significant measurement error or reanalysis adjustment could alter the recorded maximum, though such revisions are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$171,072結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent Met Office observations and model consensus have locked in a 24°C daily maximum for London on August 11, 2026, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Light northerly winds, persistent afternoon cloud cover, and stable high pressure suppressed solar heating and limited daytime warming after the 26°C peak recorded the prior day. Official station data, typically benchmarked at London City Airport, align with these conditions, leaving minimal scope for upward revision. Only a significant measurement error or reanalysis adjustment could alter the recorded maximum, though such revisions are rare once preliminary figures are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions