Stable high-pressure conditions across northern France have produced clear skies and light winds overnight, enabling efficient radiative cooling that drives Paris minimum temperatures to 14°C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus. This aligns with typical August nocturnal boundary-layer behavior under anticyclonic flow, where surface heat loss outpaces daytime warming from the urban heat island. Official observations through early morning confirm the reading, locking in the 100% market-implied outcome. Shifts in cloud cover, increased advection of warmer maritime air, or station-specific microclimate variations could still alter final resolution if models diverge before official daily closing data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日巴黎最低溫度?
14°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,516 交易量
$10,516 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,516 交易量
$10,516 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Stable high-pressure conditions across northern France have produced clear skies and light winds overnight, enabling efficient radiative cooling that drives Paris minimum temperatures to 14°C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus. This aligns with typical August nocturnal boundary-layer behavior under anticyclonic flow, where surface heat loss outpaces daytime warming from the urban heat island. Official observations through early morning confirm the reading, locking in the 100% market-implied outcome. Shifts in cloud cover, increased advection of warmer maritime air, or station-specific microclimate variations could still alter final resolution if models diverge before official daily closing data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions