Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Miami highs around 88–91°F for August 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–93°F bins that together exceed 80% implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, light easterly flow, and typical sea-breeze modulation, position temperatures near the long-term August average of 88–90°F, with only modest day-to-day variability. No significant tropical moisture or cold fronts are indicated in the latest model runs, keeping extreme outliers below 10% probability. Traders appear to weight the consensus range heavily, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread within 24–48 hours of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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