Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 48%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 6%
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
13%
12°C
36%
13°C
48%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
13°C 48%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 6%
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
13%
12°C
36%
13°C
48%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions