Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日芝加哥的最高溫度?
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
77°F或以下
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94-95度
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
77°F或以下
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94-95度
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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