The market's overwhelming 99.5% consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 10 stems directly from the National Weather Service's official observation at LaGuardia Airport, which recorded a minimum of 74°F at 5:38 a.m. EDT. This aligns with surrounding forecast guidance and regional conditions, including a warm, humid airmass with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in this verified reading, consistent with typical mid-August norms around 70-72°F. Only an unexpected station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月10日紐約市的最低溫度？
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$18,187 交易量
$18,187 交易量
2026-08-10
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
華氏82度或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$18,187 交易量
$18,187 交易量
2026-08-10
63°F或以下
$471 交易量
否
64-65°F
$510 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,808 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,088 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,390 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,857 交易量
否
74-75°F
$5,317 交易量
是
76-77°F
$1,816 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,112 交易量
否
80-81°F
$593 交易量
否
華氏82度或更高
$1,224 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.5% consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 10 stems directly from the National Weather Service's official observation at LaGuardia Airport, which recorded a minimum of 74°F at 5:38 a.m. EDT. This aligns with surrounding forecast guidance and regional conditions, including a warm, humid airmass with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in this verified reading, consistent with typical mid-August norms around 70-72°F. Only an unexpected station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$18,187結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.5% consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 10 stems directly from the National Weather Service's official observation at LaGuardia Airport, which recorded a minimum of 74°F at 5:38 a.m. EDT. This aligns with surrounding forecast guidance and regional conditions, including a warm, humid airmass with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in this verified reading, consistent with typical mid-August norms around 70-72°F. Only an unexpected station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,187結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's overwhelming 99.5% consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 10 stems directly from the National Weather Service's official observation at LaGuardia Airport, which recorded a minimum of 74°F at 5:38 a.m. EDT. This aligns with surrounding forecast guidance and regional conditions, including a warm, humid airmass with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in this verified reading, consistent with typical mid-August norms around 70-72°F. Only an unexpected station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions