Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies, positions the Incheon station's August 7 maximum near 35°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Korea Meteorological Administration data show the heatwave intensifying westward, with recent daily highs in the Seoul metropolitan area reaching 33–35°C amid light winds and high humidity that limit overnight cooling. Model consensus from regional forecasts favors continued afternoon peaks in the mid-30s for the next several days, though subtle shifts in steering flow or increased cloud cover could moderate values toward 34°C or push them higher. These conditions align with historical late-summer patterns where sustained subtropical ridging produces the observed temperature distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies, positions the Incheon station's August 7 maximum near 35°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Korea Meteorological Administration data show the heatwave intensifying westward, with recent daily highs in the Seoul metropolitan area reaching 33–35°C amid light winds and high humidity that limit overnight cooling. Model consensus from regional forecasts favors continued afternoon peaks in the mid-30s for the next several days, though subtle shifts in steering flow or increased cloud cover could moderate values toward 34°C or push them higher. These conditions align with historical late-summer patterns where sustained subtropical ridging produces the observed temperature distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions