Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and clear skies, are driving the market's 100% consensus on a 35°C high for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecasts show daytime temperatures climbing into the mid- to upper-30s°C, consistent with recent records including 39°C+ readings in the capital region amid the broader national event. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. While the implied probability reflects strong model agreement and real-time data, a rapid increase in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or steering pattern shift could cap the peak below this threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月6日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$148,953 交易量
$148,953 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$148,953 交易量
$148,953 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$664 交易量
No
28°C
$2,538 交易量
No
29°C
$596 交易量
No
30°C
$1,074 交易量
No
31°C
$5,817 交易量
No
32°C
$6,820 交易量
No
33°C
$16,246 交易量
No
34°C
$54,504 交易量
No
35°C
$19,221 交易量
Yes
36°C
$27,481 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$13,990 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and clear skies, are driving the market's 100% consensus on a 35°C high for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecasts show daytime temperatures climbing into the mid- to upper-30s°C, consistent with recent records including 39°C+ readings in the capital region amid the broader national event. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. While the implied probability reflects strong model agreement and real-time data, a rapid increase in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or steering pattern shift could cap the peak below this threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$148,953結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and clear skies, are driving the market's 100% consensus on a 35°C high for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecasts show daytime temperatures climbing into the mid- to upper-30s°C, consistent with recent records including 39°C+ readings in the capital region amid the broader national event. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. While the implied probability reflects strong model agreement and real-time data, a rapid increase in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or steering pattern shift could cap the peak below this threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$148,953結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and clear skies, are driving the market's 100% consensus on a 35°C high for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range forecasts show daytime temperatures climbing into the mid- to upper-30s°C, consistent with recent records including 39°C+ readings in the capital region amid the broader national event. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. While the implied probability reflects strong model agreement and real-time data, a rapid increase in cloud cover, unexpected precipitation, or steering pattern shift could cap the peak below this threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions