Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C low in Tokyo on August 7 because official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and short-range model guidance show minimum temperatures stabilizing at that level overnight. August climatology for the Kanto region features typical nocturnal lows of 24–26°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects often preventing further cooling. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus on minimal diurnal variation and no frontal passages or enhanced advection that would drive readings lower. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine-layer surge or measurement revision from the Tokyo station network, though current conditions and historical analogs make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日東京最低溫度？
8月7日東京最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,024 交易量
$12,024 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,024 交易量
$12,024 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
$334 交易量
否
23°C
$810 交易量
否
24°C
$803 交易量
否
25°C
$1,152 交易量
否
26°C
$2,650 交易量
是
27°C
$4,652 交易量
否
28°C
$527 交易量
否
29°C
$292 交易量
否
30°C
$318 交易量
否
31°C
$261 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$226 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C low in Tokyo on August 7 because official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and short-range model guidance show minimum temperatures stabilizing at that level overnight. August climatology for the Kanto region features typical nocturnal lows of 24–26°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects often preventing further cooling. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus on minimal diurnal variation and no frontal passages or enhanced advection that would drive readings lower. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine-layer surge or measurement revision from the Tokyo station network, though current conditions and historical analogs make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,024結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C low in Tokyo on August 7 because official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and short-range model guidance show minimum temperatures stabilizing at that level overnight. August climatology for the Kanto region features typical nocturnal lows of 24–26°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects often preventing further cooling. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus on minimal diurnal variation and no frontal passages or enhanced advection that would drive readings lower. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine-layer surge or measurement revision from the Tokyo station network, though current conditions and historical analogs make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,024結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C low in Tokyo on August 7 because official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and short-range model guidance show minimum temperatures stabilizing at that level overnight. August climatology for the Kanto region features typical nocturnal lows of 24–26°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects often preventing further cooling. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus on minimal diurnal variation and no frontal passages or enhanced advection that would drive readings lower. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted marine-layer surge or measurement revision from the Tokyo station network, though current conditions and historical analogs make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions