**Forecast models converge on a 28–30°C range for Wuhan's highest temperature on August 12, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds (29°C at 27.5%, 28°C at 23.5%, 30°C at 23%).** Ensemble guidance from global and regional models highlights modest uncertainty tied to a weak frontal passage and variable cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, August climatology typically supports daytime highs near 32°C with high humidity, but scattered showers and overcast conditions are expected to suppress maxima. Some model solutions allow clearer skies and brief warming to 31–32°C, while others keep readings capped lower amid precipitation. Recent similar markets for August 10–11 showed comparable clustering, reflecting how small differences in timing of cloudiness or showers create the observed spread. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require atypical clearing or stronger heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日武漢氣溫最高？
8月12日武漢氣溫最高？
29°C 28%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
28%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
26°C or below
$921 交易量
4%
27°C
$690 交易量
8%
28°C
$3,503 交易量
24%
29°C
$753 交易量
28%
30°C
$638 交易量
23%
31°C
$509 交易量
9%
32°C
$766 交易量
4%
33°C
$685 交易量
2%
34°C
$207 交易量
<1%
35°C
$81 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a 28–30°C range for Wuhan's highest temperature on August 12, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds (29°C at 27.5%, 28°C at 23.5%, 30°C at 23%).**
Ensemble guidance from global and regional models highlights modest uncertainty tied to a weak frontal passage and variable cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, August climatology typically supports daytime highs near 32°C with high humidity, but scattered showers and overcast conditions are expected to suppress maxima. Some model solutions allow clearer skies and brief warming to 31–32°C, while others keep readings capped lower amid precipitation. Recent similar markets for August 10–11 showed comparable clustering, reflecting how small differences in timing of cloudiness or showers create the observed spread. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require atypical clearing or stronger heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,872結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a 28–30°C range for Wuhan's highest temperature on August 12, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds (29°C at 27.5%, 28°C at 23.5%, 30°C at 23%).**
Ensemble guidance from global and regional models highlights modest uncertainty tied to a weak frontal passage and variable cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, August climatology typically supports daytime highs near 32°C with high humidity, but scattered showers and overcast conditions are expected to suppress maxima. Some model solutions allow clearer skies and brief warming to 31–32°C, while others keep readings capped lower amid precipitation. Recent similar markets for August 10–11 showed comparable clustering, reflecting how small differences in timing of cloudiness or showers create the observed spread. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require atypical clearing or stronger heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,872結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET**Forecast models converge on a 28–30°C range for Wuhan's highest temperature on August 12, 2026, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds (29°C at 27.5%, 28°C at 23.5%, 30°C at 23%).** Ensemble guidance from global and regional models highlights modest uncertainty tied to a weak frontal passage and variable cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, August climatology typically supports daytime highs near 32°C with high humidity, but scattered showers and overcast conditions are expected to suppress maxima. Some model solutions allow clearer skies and brief warming to 31–32°C, while others keep readings capped lower amid precipitation. Recent similar markets for August 10–11 showed comparable clustering, reflecting how small differences in timing of cloudiness or showers create the observed spread. Traders are weighting the most probable outcomes near the forecast consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers that would require atypical clearing or stronger heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions