**Trader consensus at 100% for a 9°C high in Wellington on August 5, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts from MetService and international models showing a cold southerly airstream dominating the region.** Persistent strong southerly winds are advecting cooler sub-Antarctic air, combined with widespread cloud cover, light rain or sleet, and limited solar heating, which has kept observed temperatures in the 4–8°C range through the morning and early afternoon. This setup aligns with near-average winter conditions for the season but below the typical August daytime maximum of around 12°C, as seasonal outlooks from NIWA had indicated. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Wellington station; any unexpected wind shift, clearing skies allowing stronger insolation, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher and introduce uncertainty, though current data and guidance show little scope for such shifts before the end of the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月5日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$189,942 交易量
$189,942 交易量
2026-08-05
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$189,942 交易量
$189,942 交易量
2026-08-05
3°C or below
$1,150 交易量
No
4°C
$1,080 交易量
No
5°C
$3,076 交易量
No
6°C
$21,476 交易量
No
7°C
$32,532 交易量
No
8°C
$65,007 交易量
No
9°C
$27,254 交易量
Yes
10°C
$19,395 交易量
No
11°C
$11,549 交易量
No
12°C
$4,041 交易量
No
13°C or higher
$3,383 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 9°C high in Wellington on August 5, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts from MetService and international models showing a cold southerly airstream dominating the region.** Persistent strong southerly winds are advecting cooler sub-Antarctic air, combined with widespread cloud cover, light rain or sleet, and limited solar heating, which has kept observed temperatures in the 4–8°C range through the morning and early afternoon. This setup aligns with near-average winter conditions for the season but below the typical August daytime maximum of around 12°C, as seasonal outlooks from NIWA had indicated.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Wellington station; any unexpected wind shift, clearing skies allowing stronger insolation, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher and introduce uncertainty, though current data and guidance show little scope for such shifts before the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$189,942結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 9°C high in Wellington on August 5, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts from MetService and international models showing a cold southerly airstream dominating the region.** Persistent strong southerly winds are advecting cooler sub-Antarctic air, combined with widespread cloud cover, light rain or sleet, and limited solar heating, which has kept observed temperatures in the 4–8°C range through the morning and early afternoon. This setup aligns with near-average winter conditions for the season but below the typical August daytime maximum of around 12°C, as seasonal outlooks from NIWA had indicated.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Wellington station; any unexpected wind shift, clearing skies allowing stronger insolation, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher and introduce uncertainty, though current data and guidance show little scope for such shifts before the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$189,942結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 9°C high in Wellington on August 5, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts from MetService and international models showing a cold southerly airstream dominating the region.** Persistent strong southerly winds are advecting cooler sub-Antarctic air, combined with widespread cloud cover, light rain or sleet, and limited solar heating, which has kept observed temperatures in the 4–8°C range through the morning and early afternoon. This setup aligns with near-average winter conditions for the season but below the typical August daytime maximum of around 12°C, as seasonal outlooks from NIWA had indicated. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Wellington station; any unexpected wind shift, clearing skies allowing stronger insolation, or model error in boundary-layer mixing could push readings higher and introduce uncertainty, though current data and guidance show little scope for such shifts before the end of the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions