Numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles currently drive trader consensus toward 33–34°C as the most probable maximum in Tokyo on August 7, reflecting a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal warmth two days out. Mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers may limit peak heating compared to clear conditions, while high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify perceived temperatures near seasonal norms of 31.8°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks highlight persistent warm-air advection across Honshu, with limited model spread narrowing resolution odds around these thresholds; updated short-range runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if cloud cover or steering patterns change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日東京氣溫最高？
8月7日東京氣溫最高？
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
34%
34°C
30%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$544 交易量
<1%
29°C
$68 交易量
2%
30°C
$34 交易量
2%
31°C
$25 交易量
9%
32°C
$86 交易量
22%
33°C
$42 交易量
34%
34°C
$118 交易量
30%
35°C
$184 交易量
8%
36°C
$168 交易量
4%
37°C
$50 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$46 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles currently drive trader consensus toward 33–34°C as the most probable maximum in Tokyo on August 7, reflecting a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal warmth two days out. Mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers may limit peak heating compared to clear conditions, while high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify perceived temperatures near seasonal norms of 31.8°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks highlight persistent warm-air advection across Honshu, with limited model spread narrowing resolution odds around these thresholds; updated short-range runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if cloud cover or steering patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,341結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles currently drive trader consensus toward 33–34°C as the most probable maximum in Tokyo on August 7, reflecting a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal warmth two days out. Mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers may limit peak heating compared to clear conditions, while high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify perceived temperatures near seasonal norms of 31.8°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks highlight persistent warm-air advection across Honshu, with limited model spread narrowing resolution odds around these thresholds; updated short-range runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if cloud cover or steering patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,341結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNumerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles currently drive trader consensus toward 33–34°C as the most probable maximum in Tokyo on August 7, reflecting a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal warmth two days out. Mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers may limit peak heating compared to clear conditions, while high humidity and urban heat island effects amplify perceived temperatures near seasonal norms of 31.8°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks highlight persistent warm-air advection across Honshu, with limited model spread narrowing resolution odds around these thresholds; updated short-range runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if cloud cover or steering patterns change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions