Chongqing's subtropical climate and urban heat island effect typically drive August daily maxima into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with trader consensus clustering around 32–34°C reflecting the narrow window between average conditions and modest intensification from clear skies or reduced monsoon moisture. Official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies shows early August highs often hovering near 33–34°C under high humidity exceeding 70%, where even small shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or incoming frontal systems can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution just two days away, model consensus remains limited by forecast uncertainty in steering flows and localized convection, keeping probabilities closely matched rather than favoring extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日重慶氣溫最高?
32°C 32%
33°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 16%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
12%
30°C
14%
31°C
16%
32°C
32%
33°C
26%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 16%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
12%
30°C
14%
31°C
16%
32°C
32%
33°C
26%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Chongqing's subtropical climate and urban heat island effect typically drive August daily maxima into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with trader consensus clustering around 32–34°C reflecting the narrow window between average conditions and modest intensification from clear skies or reduced monsoon moisture. Official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies shows early August highs often hovering near 33–34°C under high humidity exceeding 70%, where even small shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or incoming frontal systems can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution just two days away, model consensus remains limited by forecast uncertainty in steering flows and localized convection, keeping probabilities closely matched rather than favoring extremes below 30°C or above 35°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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