The tight race between 82-83°F and 84-85°F stems from National Weather Service forecast models showing New York City’s maximum temperature on August 5 hovering near the 1991-2020 Central Park August average of 83°F, with only modest spread from variable afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and potential scattered showers limiting full solar heating. Recent ensemble runs exhibit little divergence on steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes clustered around climatological norms rather than signaling anomalous warmth. Official observations from Central Park and surrounding stations throughout the afternoon will finalize the recorded high and resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月5日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
最新
$44,932 交易量
最新
$44,932 交易量
2026-08-05
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 11%
86-87°F 11%
最新
$44,932 交易量
最新
$44,932 交易量
2026-08-05
71°F or below
$9,455 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$265 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$986 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,539 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$3,767 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$4,813 交易量
11%
82-83°F
$8,374 交易量
40%
84-85°F
$7,049 交易量
42%
86-87°F
$3,942 交易量
11%
88-89°F
$1,564 交易量
1%
90°F or higher
$2,178 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight race between 82-83°F and 84-85°F stems from National Weather Service forecast models showing New York City’s maximum temperature on August 5 hovering near the 1991-2020 Central Park August average of 83°F, with only modest spread from variable afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and potential scattered showers limiting full solar heating. Recent ensemble runs exhibit little divergence on steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes clustered around climatological norms rather than signaling anomalous warmth. Official observations from Central Park and surrounding stations throughout the afternoon will finalize the recorded high and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$44,932結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight race between 82-83°F and 84-85°F stems from National Weather Service forecast models showing New York City’s maximum temperature on August 5 hovering near the 1991-2020 Central Park August average of 83°F, with only modest spread from variable afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and potential scattered showers limiting full solar heating. Recent ensemble runs exhibit little divergence on steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes clustered around climatological norms rather than signaling anomalous warmth. Official observations from Central Park and surrounding stations throughout the afternoon will finalize the recorded high and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,932結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThe tight race between 82-83°F and 84-85°F stems from National Weather Service forecast models showing New York City’s maximum temperature on August 5 hovering near the 1991-2020 Central Park August average of 83°F, with only modest spread from variable afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and potential scattered showers limiting full solar heating. Recent ensemble runs exhibit little divergence on steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes clustered around climatological norms rather than signaling anomalous warmth. Official observations from Central Park and surrounding stations throughout the afternoon will finalize the recorded high and resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions