Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,309 交易量
$16,309 交易量
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,309 交易量
$16,309 交易量
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
$496 交易量
否
66-67°F
$441 交易量
否
68-69°F
$735 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,824 交易量
否
72-73°F
$775 交易量
否
74-75°F
$1,234 交易量
否
76-77°F
$3,834 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,129 交易量
是
80-81°F
$708 交易量
否
82-83°F
$646 交易量
否
84°F或更高
$486 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$16,309結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,309結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass kept overnight lows in the upper 70s across New York City on August 6, 2026. National Weather Service data and model consensus showed elevated dew points limiting radiational cooling, consistent with late-summer thermal inertia and above-average August norms for Central Park. This setup produced a daily minimum aligning with the 78–79°F range at official stations, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability. An unforecasted cold front or enhanced precipitation before dawn could have introduced modest cooling, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such deviations improbable before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions