Current forecasts from National Weather Service models and private outlets point to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s for New York City on August 9, driven by elevated dew points in the mid-70s, limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically raises minimum temperatures several degrees above surrounding areas. The broader August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center favors above-average warmth, consistent with recent mild conditions and reduced radiational cooling potential. Official resolution relies on verified minimum readings from stations such as Central Park or LaGuardia, where even small shifts in wind or cloud cover could nudge the final value within the narrow 76–79 °F range holding the bulk of market-implied probability.