San Francisco's official high temperature on August 9 stayed at or below 75°F, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific kept the city under its typical summer fog regime, suppressing daytime warming despite broader regional heat elsewhere in California. NOAA and local station data at San Francisco International Airport reflected this climatological pattern, where average August highs hover near 69°F and exceed 75°F only during rare offshore wind events. Trader consensus reflects the low historical frequency of warmer August days and the absence of any model signals for intensification. A late-day clearing or stronger high-pressure ridge could have pushed readings higher, but no such shift materialized in observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月9日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月9日的最高溫度？
華氏75度或以下 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$42,236 交易量
$42,236 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏75度或以下
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94°F或更高
否
華氏75度或以下 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$42,236 交易量
$42,236 交易量
2026-08-09
華氏75度或以下
$12,511 交易量
是
76-77°F
$5,671 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,828 交易量
否
80-81°F
$3,884 交易量
否
82-83°F
$8,325 交易量
否
84-85°F
$3,087 交易量
否
86-87°F
$1,514 交易量
否
88-89°F
$1,447 交易量
否
90-91°F
$299 交易量
否
92-93°F
$305 交易量
否
94°F或更高
$365 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's official high temperature on August 9 stayed at or below 75°F, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific kept the city under its typical summer fog regime, suppressing daytime warming despite broader regional heat elsewhere in California. NOAA and local station data at San Francisco International Airport reflected this climatological pattern, where average August highs hover near 69°F and exceed 75°F only during rare offshore wind events. Trader consensus reflects the low historical frequency of warmer August days and the absence of any model signals for intensification. A late-day clearing or stronger high-pressure ridge could have pushed readings higher, but no such shift materialized in observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$42,236結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's official high temperature on August 9 stayed at or below 75°F, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific kept the city under its typical summer fog regime, suppressing daytime warming despite broader regional heat elsewhere in California. NOAA and local station data at San Francisco International Airport reflected this climatological pattern, where average August highs hover near 69°F and exceed 75°F only during rare offshore wind events. Trader consensus reflects the low historical frequency of warmer August days and the absence of any model signals for intensification. A late-day clearing or stronger high-pressure ridge could have pushed readings higher, but no such shift materialized in observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,236結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
San Francisco's official high temperature on August 9 stayed at or below 75°F, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific kept the city under its typical summer fog regime, suppressing daytime warming despite broader regional heat elsewhere in California. NOAA and local station data at San Francisco International Airport reflected this climatological pattern, where average August highs hover near 69°F and exceed 75°F only during rare offshore wind events. Trader consensus reflects the low historical frequency of warmer August days and the absence of any model signals for intensification. A late-day clearing or stronger high-pressure ridge could have pushed readings higher, but no such shift materialized in observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions