**Current NWS guidance and ensemble forecasts position Houston’s August 9 high near 93 °F under dominant subtropical high pressure, typical Gulf moisture, and a modest chance of afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures.** Seasonably hot conditions with heat indices 100–108 °F have prevailed through early August after earlier triple-digit readings eased slightly, keeping most model runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. Afternoon seabreeze or weak frontal influences may trigger isolated storms, introducing minor downward bias on the daily maximum, while clearer periods favor the upper end of that range. Trader consensus in the 92–95 °F bins aligns closely with this model consensus and historical early-August normals near 93–95 °F, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting low forecast spread and limited potential for rapid pattern shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月9日休斯敦的最高溫度？
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 18%
88-89°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
4%
華氏98度或以上
3%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 18%
88-89°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
華氏79度或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$121 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$24 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$24 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$47 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$177 交易量
7%
90-91°F
$177 交易量
18%
92-93°F
$411 交易量
48%
94-95°F
$177 交易量
29%
96-97°F
$39 交易量
4%
華氏98度或以上
$184 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS guidance and ensemble forecasts position Houston’s August 9 high near 93 °F under dominant subtropical high pressure, typical Gulf moisture, and a modest chance of afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures.**
Seasonably hot conditions with heat indices 100–108 °F have prevailed through early August after earlier triple-digit readings eased slightly, keeping most model runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. Afternoon seabreeze or weak frontal influences may trigger isolated storms, introducing minor downward bias on the daily maximum, while clearer periods favor the upper end of that range. Trader consensus in the 92–95 °F bins aligns closely with this model consensus and historical early-August normals near 93–95 °F, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting low forecast spread and limited potential for rapid pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,428結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS guidance and ensemble forecasts position Houston’s August 9 high near 93 °F under dominant subtropical high pressure, typical Gulf moisture, and a modest chance of afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures.**
Seasonably hot conditions with heat indices 100–108 °F have prevailed through early August after earlier triple-digit readings eased slightly, keeping most model runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. Afternoon seabreeze or weak frontal influences may trigger isolated storms, introducing minor downward bias on the daily maximum, while clearer periods favor the upper end of that range. Trader consensus in the 92–95 °F bins aligns closely with this model consensus and historical early-August normals near 93–95 °F, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting low forecast spread and limited potential for rapid pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,428結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Current NWS guidance and ensemble forecasts position Houston’s August 9 high near 93 °F under dominant subtropical high pressure, typical Gulf moisture, and a modest chance of afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures.** Seasonably hot conditions with heat indices 100–108 °F have prevailed through early August after earlier triple-digit readings eased slightly, keeping most model runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. Afternoon seabreeze or weak frontal influences may trigger isolated storms, introducing minor downward bias on the daily maximum, while clearer periods favor the upper end of that range. Trader consensus in the 92–95 °F bins aligns closely with this model consensus and historical early-August normals near 93–95 °F, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting low forecast spread and limited potential for rapid pattern shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions