Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 9, 2026, aligning precisely with seasonal climatology for the region where August highs average near 24°C with limited variability. This outcome drove the near-certain market-implied probability, as traders incorporated real-time data from authoritative sources showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming influences such as anomalous high-pressure systems or reduced cloud cover. Minor deviations remain possible only from station-specific measurement differences or post-hoc data revisions, though historical patterns indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月9日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城8月9日的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$22,254 交易量
$22,254 交易量
2026-08-09
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$22,254 交易量
$22,254 交易量
2026-08-09
17°C或以下
$466 交易量
否
18°C
$383 交易量
否
19°C
$811 交易量
否
20°C
$507 交易量
否
21°C
$1,343 交易量
否
22°C
$2,317 交易量
否
23°C
$6,319 交易量
是
24°C
$4,693 交易量
否
25°C
$3,508 交易量
否
26°C
$1,376 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$530 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 9, 2026, aligning precisely with seasonal climatology for the region where August highs average near 24°C with limited variability. This outcome drove the near-certain market-implied probability, as traders incorporated real-time data from authoritative sources showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming influences such as anomalous high-pressure systems or reduced cloud cover. Minor deviations remain possible only from station-specific measurement differences or post-hoc data revisions, though historical patterns indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$22,254結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 9, 2026, aligning precisely with seasonal climatology for the region where August highs average near 24°C with limited variability. This outcome drove the near-certain market-implied probability, as traders incorporated real-time data from authoritative sources showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming influences such as anomalous high-pressure systems or reduced cloud cover. Minor deviations remain possible only from station-specific measurement differences or post-hoc data revisions, though historical patterns indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,254結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 9, 2026, aligning precisely with seasonal climatology for the region where August highs average near 24°C with limited variability. This outcome drove the near-certain market-implied probability, as traders incorporated real-time data from authoritative sources showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming influences such as anomalous high-pressure systems or reduced cloud cover. Minor deviations remain possible only from station-specific measurement differences or post-hoc data revisions, though historical patterns indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions