Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan highs near 35–37°C on August 7, with thundershowers and overcast skies expected to limit peak heating in this subtropical monsoon region. Trader consensus around 37°C (36%) versus 38°C (29.5%) reflects model spreads on timing of convective activity, humidity levels near 60%, and heat-index amplification up to 45°C. Historical August averages of 32–33°C and occasional spikes above 39°C underscore sensitivity to steering patterns and cloud cover, with updated model runs and official observations likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日武漢氣溫最高?
37°C 36%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
35°C 9%
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C
30%
39°C
8%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C或以上
<1%
37°C 36%
38°C 30%
36°C 19%
35°C 9%
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
36%
38°C
30%
39°C
8%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan highs near 35–37°C on August 7, with thundershowers and overcast skies expected to limit peak heating in this subtropical monsoon region. Trader consensus around 37°C (36%) versus 38°C (29.5%) reflects model spreads on timing of convective activity, humidity levels near 60%, and heat-index amplification up to 45°C. Historical August averages of 32–33°C and occasional spikes above 39°C underscore sensitivity to steering patterns and cloud cover, with updated model runs and official observations likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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