Recent forecasts from meteorological models consistently project a daily maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 8, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in the region features subtropical highs typically reaching 33–35°C, with occasional peaks near 37°C driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low wind shear, and urban heat island effects that elevate surface readings at official stations. Strong model consensus across runs, combined with observed conditions through early August, underpins trader confidence. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement discrepancies at the primary observatory, rapid afternoon convection cooling the peak, or revisions in final verified data, though historical verification rates for such forecasts remain high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日廣州最高溫度?
37°C 99%
38°C 2%
39°C <1%
31°C或以下 <1%
$46,345 交易量
$46,345 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
99%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
37°C 99%
38°C 2%
39°C <1%
31°C或以下 <1%
$46,345 交易量
$46,345 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
99%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models consistently project a daily maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 8, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in the region features subtropical highs typically reaching 33–35°C, with occasional peaks near 37°C driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low wind shear, and urban heat island effects that elevate surface readings at official stations. Strong model consensus across runs, combined with observed conditions through early August, underpins trader confidence. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement discrepancies at the primary observatory, rapid afternoon convection cooling the peak, or revisions in final verified data, though historical verification rates for such forecasts remain high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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