Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a high near 30°C on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), with 100% rain probability and lows around 25°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the monsoon, recently enhanced by tropical systems, suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines support a narrow range centered on 29–30°C, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Updated official guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength or convective activity will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 7%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 7%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a high near 30°C on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), with 100% rain probability and lows around 25°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from the monsoon, recently enhanced by tropical systems, suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 30–31°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines support a narrow range centered on 29–30°C, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Updated official guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength or convective activity will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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