Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 9 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima while allowing strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 30–31°C, rarely exceeding 33°C) amid a developing strong El Niño that favors above-normal regional warmth without triggering extreme anomalies yet. Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C (59%) over 32°C (29%) because short-range guidance shows slight upward bias from minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, with low odds for 34°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before the weekend. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 59%
32°C 30%
34°C 10%
31°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
30%
33°C
59%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 30%
34°C 10%
31°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
30%
33°C
59%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 9 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima while allowing strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 30–31°C, rarely exceeding 33°C) amid a developing strong El Niño that favors above-normal regional warmth without triggering extreme anomalies yet. Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C (59%) over 32°C (29%) because short-range guidance shows slight upward bias from minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, with low odds for 34°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before the weekend. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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