Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical for early August. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 30.5%, consistent with ensemble consensus showing limited spread. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, with coastal sea breezes often capping peaks; the modest weighting on 33°C reflects occasional model runs that allow slight warming if onshore flow weakens. A preceding heat wave that pushed inland areas above 40°C has eased, returning conditions closer to climatological norms by midweek and reducing upside risk for extreme highs. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from the Tel Aviv station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 55%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
29°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
31%
32°C
55%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
29°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$581 交易量
<1%
29°C
$40 交易量
2%
30°C
$109 交易量
2%
31°C
$104 交易量
31%
32°C
$1,196 交易量
55%
33°C
$191 交易量
14%
34°C
$87 交易量
2%
35°C
$98 交易量
1%
36°C
$47 交易量
<1%
37°C
$66 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical for early August. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 30.5%, consistent with ensemble consensus showing limited spread. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, with coastal sea breezes often capping peaks; the modest weighting on 33°C reflects occasional model runs that allow slight warming if onshore flow weakens. A preceding heat wave that pushed inland areas above 40°C has eased, returning conditions closer to climatological norms by midweek and reducing upside risk for extreme highs. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,634結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical for early August. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 30.5%, consistent with ensemble consensus showing limited spread. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, with coastal sea breezes often capping peaks; the modest weighting on 33°C reflects occasional model runs that allow slight warming if onshore flow weakens. A preceding heat wave that pushed inland areas above 40°C has eased, returning conditions closer to climatological norms by midweek and reducing upside risk for extreme highs. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from the Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,634結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical for early August. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 30.5%, consistent with ensemble consensus showing limited spread. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, with coastal sea breezes often capping peaks; the modest weighting on 33°C reflects occasional model runs that allow slight warming if onshore flow weakens. A preceding heat wave that pushed inland areas above 40°C has eased, returning conditions closer to climatological norms by midweek and reducing upside risk for extreme highs. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from the Tel Aviv station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions