Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月6日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月6日的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,317 交易量
$30,317 交易量
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,317 交易量
$30,317 交易量
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
$397 交易量
否
23°C
$469 交易量
否
24°C
$382 交易量
否
25°C
$292 交易量
否
26°C
$5,400 交易量
否
27°C
$4,421 交易量
否
28°C
$9,967 交易量
是
29°C
$4,963 交易量
否
30°C
$2,141 交易量
否
31°C
$1,063 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$822 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$30,317結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,317結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions