Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Istanbul’s coastal setting along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara enhances sea-breeze moderation, keeping peaks below inland norms despite August’s seasonal baseline of 28–31°C. Recent model runs show no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 31°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects remain modest under light winds. With resolution tied to official station observations, traders have aligned probabilities accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月8日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
29°C 56%
30°C 38%
31°C 4.3%
32°C 1.0%
$24,111 交易量
$24,111 交易量
2026-08-08
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
56%
30°C
38%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 56%
30°C 38%
31°C 4.3%
32°C 1.0%
$24,111 交易量
$24,111 交易量
2026-08-08
23°C或以下
$486 交易量
<1%
24°C
$441 交易量
<1%
25°C
$703 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,343 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,260 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,616 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,046 交易量
56%
30°C
$1,947 交易量
38%
31°C
$1,396 交易量
4%
32°C
$1,285 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$2,928 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Istanbul’s coastal setting along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara enhances sea-breeze moderation, keeping peaks below inland norms despite August’s seasonal baseline of 28–31°C. Recent model runs show no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 31°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects remain modest under light winds. With resolution tied to official station observations, traders have aligned probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$24,111結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Istanbul’s coastal setting along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara enhances sea-breeze moderation, keeping peaks below inland norms despite August’s seasonal baseline of 28–31°C. Recent model runs show no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 31°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects remain modest under light winds. With resolution tied to official station observations, traders have aligned probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,111結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Istanbul’s coastal setting along the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara enhances sea-breeze moderation, keeping peaks below inland norms despite August’s seasonal baseline of 28–31°C. Recent model runs show no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings to 31°C or higher, while urban heat-island effects remain modest under light winds. With resolution tied to official station observations, traders have aligned probabilities accordingly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions