Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service currently favor a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of early-August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to cap intensification, keeping values near the long-term climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning only marginal probability to 34°C or higher, which would require an unusual suppression of the marine layer. Updated regional model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月8日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 54%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
54%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
28°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C
$26 交易量
1%
30°C
$46 交易量
2%
31°C
$51 交易量
6%
32°C
$91 交易量
54%
33°C
$85 交易量
35%
34°C
$51 交易量
5%
35°C
$45 交易量
2%
36°C
$10 交易量
1%
37°C
$116 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$127 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service currently favor a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of early-August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to cap intensification, keeping values near the long-term climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning only marginal probability to 34°C or higher, which would require an unusual suppression of the marine layer. Updated regional model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$658結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service currently favor a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of early-August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to cap intensification, keeping values near the long-term climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning only marginal probability to 34°C or higher, which would require an unusual suppression of the marine layer. Updated regional model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$658結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service currently favor a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of early-August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are expected to cap intensification, keeping values near the long-term climatological average high of roughly 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning only marginal probability to 34°C or higher, which would require an unusual suppression of the marine layer. Updated regional model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions