Meteorological forecasts for Chongqing on August 6, 2026, project a daily maximum of 35°C under the city's subtropical monsoon climate, where intense solar heating combines with high humidity and the urban heat island effect to drive afternoon peaks. August climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, consistent with current model consensus from regional agencies emphasizing minimal cloud interference and light winds that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects this alignment between observational trends and short-term predictions, with real capital at stake sharpening assessment of variables like boundary-layer moisture. An unexpected convective rain event or rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日重慶氣溫最高?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,276 交易量
$63,276 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C或以上
否
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,276 交易量
$63,276 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Meteorological forecasts for Chongqing on August 6, 2026, project a daily maximum of 35°C under the city's subtropical monsoon climate, where intense solar heating combines with high humidity and the urban heat island effect to drive afternoon peaks. August climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, consistent with current model consensus from regional agencies emphasizing minimal cloud interference and light winds that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects this alignment between observational trends and short-term predictions, with real capital at stake sharpening assessment of variables like boundary-layer moisture. An unexpected convective rain event or rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions