Official meteorological data and short-range forecast models from Chinese weather agencies show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure on August 6, 2026, with clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating driving afternoon temperatures to a peak near 37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify the observed maximum, consistent with historical August climatology where daily highs frequently reach 33–37°C. Real-time station readings and ensemble guidance have converged on this threshold, producing the market’s near-certain 37°C outcome. Only an unexpected surge of cloud cover, heavy convective rain, or rapid frontal passage could realistically cap the high below 37°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日廣州最高溫度?
37°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$80,395 交易量
$80,395 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
37°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$80,395 交易量
$80,395 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological data and short-range forecast models from Chinese weather agencies show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure on August 6, 2026, with clear skies, light winds, and strong solar heating driving afternoon temperatures to a peak near 37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify the observed maximum, consistent with historical August climatology where daily highs frequently reach 33–37°C. Real-time station readings and ensemble guidance have converged on this threshold, producing the market’s near-certain 37°C outcome. Only an unexpected surge of cloud cover, heavy convective rain, or rapid frontal passage could realistically cap the high below 37°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions