Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a London high of 23°C on August 6 under mostly clear to hazy skies with light winds, limiting the diurnal range and supporting the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official forecasts emphasize stable high pressure and modest insolation consistent with seasonal averages near 23°C, with minimal advection of warmer air. The 100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of low forecast uncertainty this close to resolution, as surface observations and nowcasting data align tightly with model runs. Only rapid unexpected increases in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could realistically push the verified maximum outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月6日倫敦的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$180,316 交易量
$180,316 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$180,316 交易量
$180,316 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
$6,667 交易量
No
20°C
$21,978 交易量
No
21°C
$19,010 交易量
No
22°C
$44,996 交易量
No
23°C
$23,666 交易量
Yes
24°C
$18,397 交易量
No
25°C
$21,465 交易量
No
26°C
$8,979 交易量
No
27°C
$4,381 交易量
No
28°C
$4,899 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$5,879 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a London high of 23°C on August 6 under mostly clear to hazy skies with light winds, limiting the diurnal range and supporting the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official forecasts emphasize stable high pressure and modest insolation consistent with seasonal averages near 23°C, with minimal advection of warmer air. The 100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of low forecast uncertainty this close to resolution, as surface observations and nowcasting data align tightly with model runs. Only rapid unexpected increases in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could realistically push the verified maximum outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$180,316結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a London high of 23°C on August 6 under mostly clear to hazy skies with light winds, limiting the diurnal range and supporting the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official forecasts emphasize stable high pressure and modest insolation consistent with seasonal averages near 23°C, with minimal advection of warmer air. The 100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of low forecast uncertainty this close to resolution, as surface observations and nowcasting data align tightly with model runs. Only rapid unexpected increases in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could realistically push the verified maximum outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$180,316結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a London high of 23°C on August 6 under mostly clear to hazy skies with light winds, limiting the diurnal range and supporting the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official forecasts emphasize stable high pressure and modest insolation consistent with seasonal averages near 23°C, with minimal advection of warmer air. The 100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of low forecast uncertainty this close to resolution, as surface observations and nowcasting data align tightly with model runs. Only rapid unexpected increases in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could realistically push the verified maximum outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions