Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日臺北氣溫最高？
8月6日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,528 交易量
$73,528 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,528 交易量
$73,528 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C or below
$469 交易量
No
29°C
$5,381 交易量
No
30°C
$4,002 交易量
No
31°C
$5,124 交易量
No
32°C
$4,268 交易量
No
33°C
$9,161 交易量
No
34°C
$11,328 交易量
No
35°C
$9,595 交易量
No
36°C
$10,140 交易量
Yes
37°C
$7,678 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$6,382 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$73,528結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,528結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have locked in 36°C as the near-certain outcome for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6 because Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting models project an afternoon peak near that level under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system. Typical midsummer conditions—light winds, high humidity, and the urban heat-island effect within the Taipei basin—support maxima of 34–36°C, aligning with August climatology where daily highs routinely reach the mid-30s. Early observational data and model consensus show no significant deviations toward stronger warming or rapid cooling. The only realistic challenges would be earlier-than-expected heavy showers that import cooler air or unexpectedly clear skies with stronger subsidence pushing readings above the anticipated range before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions