Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日釜山的最高溫度？
8月6日釜山的最高溫度？
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
24%
35°C
56%
36°C
14%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 24%
36°C 14%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
31°C
$620 交易量
1%
32°C
$335 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,113 交易量
7%
34°C
$622 交易量
24%
35°C
$2,707 交易量
56%
36°C
$876 交易量
14%
37°C
$1,078 交易量
1%
38°C
$531 交易量
1%
39°C
$448 交易量
<1%
40°C或以上
$277 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,875結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,875結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Busan on August 6 due to persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 44.5% implied probability for 35°C, followed by 34°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions where coastal sea breezes moderate extremes but humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Historical baselines show August daytime highs averaging 29–31°C, yet current patterns indicate a positive temperature anomaly driven by warm advection and minimal precipitation chances. Traders are closely monitoring the final short-range updates for any shifts in steering flow or marine layer development that could cap or boost the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions