Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月6日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 交易量
$123,178 交易量
2026-08-06
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 交易量
$123,178 交易量
2026-08-06
5°C or below
$398 交易量
No
6°C
$1,128 交易量
No
7°C
$606 交易量
No
8°C
$2,210 交易量
No
9°C
$27,847 交易量
No
10°C
$26,144 交易量
Yes
11°C
$23,659 交易量
No
12°C
$19,103 交易量
No
13°C
$15,178 交易量
No
14°C
$4,335 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$2,572 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$123,178結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$123,178結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions