Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日華沙的最高溫度？
8月6日華沙的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,521 交易量
$53,521 交易量
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,521 交易量
$53,521 交易量
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
$4,259 交易量
否
30°C
$3,298 交易量
否
31°C
$5,548 交易量
否
32°C
$6,122 交易量
否
33°C
$13,218 交易量
是
34°C
$8,255 交易量
否
35°C
$7,536 交易量
否
36°C
$2,738 交易量
否
37°C
$1,625 交易量
否
38°C
$494 交易量
否
39°C或更高
$428 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$53,521結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,521結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, including those operated by Poland’s IMGW, have recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 6, anchoring near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Real-time surface data and model verification align with this peak amid typical August conditions, where daytime highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s under clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official measurements once the observation window closes, though minor revisions to station data or alternative resolution criteria could theoretically shift settlement in edge cases. Updated synoptic reports from European models like ECMWF will provide final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions