Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models position 25°C as the modal outcome for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 9, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This aligns closely with early-August climatology for the region, where mean daily highs range 24–26°C. The narrower probabilities around 24°C and 26°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, while lower odds for extremes reflect the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management later today will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日華沙的最高溫度？
8月9日華沙的最高溫度？
25°C 51%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
23%
25°C
51%
26°C
22%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C or below
$470 交易量
<1%
22°C
$772 交易量
1%
23°C
$328 交易量
3%
24°C
$1,884 交易量
23%
25°C
$1,568 交易量
51%
26°C
$729 交易量
22%
27°C
$916 交易量
2%
28°C
$608 交易量
<1%
29°C
$258 交易量
<1%
30°C
$316 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$426 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models position 25°C as the modal outcome for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 9, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This aligns closely with early-August climatology for the region, where mean daily highs range 24–26°C. The narrower probabilities around 24°C and 26°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, while lower odds for extremes reflect the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management later today will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$8,273結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models position 25°C as the modal outcome for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 9, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This aligns closely with early-August climatology for the region, where mean daily highs range 24–26°C. The narrower probabilities around 24°C and 26°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, while lower odds for extremes reflect the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management later today will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,273結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major global models position 25°C as the modal outcome for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 9, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This aligns closely with early-August climatology for the region, where mean daily highs range 24–26°C. The narrower probabilities around 24°C and 26°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development, while lower odds for extremes reflect the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management later today will provide the final guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions