Current European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月6日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 48%
22°C 32%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
最新
$22,396 交易量
最新
$22,396 交易量
2026-08-06
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
32%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 48%
22°C 32%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
最新
$22,396 交易量
最新
$22,396 交易量
2026-08-06
17°C或以下
$859 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,571 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,803 交易量
3%
20°C
$3,851 交易量
22%
21°C
$3,135 交易量
48%
22°C
$5,407 交易量
32%
23°C
$1,613 交易量
2%
24°C
$1,376 交易量
1%
25°C
$935 交易量
<1%
26°C
$523 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$1,323 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$22,396結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,396結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETCurrent European weather model consensus, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic high pressure. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near 18°C provide a cooling influence on the coastal plain, limiting daytime peaks relative to inland areas, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow typical August solar heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 22°C, with low variability this week due to stable synoptic patterns. Traders have priced 21°C as the mode at 49% because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around that value, with only minor upside risk from any delayed model shift in the final 24-hour updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions