Current Environment Canada forecasts project a daytime high of 29°C in Toronto on August 6 amid a warm air mass and 60% chance of showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 65%. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and potential convective cooling, while climatological normals list a 27°C maximum for early August. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Old Farmer’s Almanac and The Weather Network note above-average warmth for the first week of the month, though short-range guidance remains the dominant driver of trader consensus ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日多倫多氣溫最高?
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Environment Canada forecasts project a daytime high of 29°C in Toronto on August 6 amid a warm air mass and 60% chance of showers, positioning 28–29°C as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 65%. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and potential convective cooling, while climatological normals list a 27°C maximum for early August. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Old Farmer’s Almanac and The Weather Network note above-average warmth for the first week of the month, though short-range guidance remains the dominant driver of trader consensus ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions