Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like Environment Canada and NOAA indicate a warm air mass over southern Ontario on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–29°C under partly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities near 44.5% for 29°C. Seasonal August averages hover around 25–27°C, but 2026's broader elevated temperature trend and recent model runs showing limited cloud cover or precipitation have nudged trader consensus toward the upper end of normal. Key variables include afternoon heating potential and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns, with official high-temperature observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月5日多倫多氣溫最高？
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 5%
最新
$12,872 交易量
最新
$12,872 交易量
2026-08-05
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 5%
最新
$12,872 交易量
最新
$12,872 交易量
2026-08-05
23°C or below
$455 交易量
<1%
24°C
$856 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,749 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,544 交易量
<1%
27°C
$566 交易量
4%
28°C
$1,420 交易量
25%
29°C
$2,770 交易量
45%
30°C
$795 交易量
24%
31°C
$711 交易量
5%
32°C
$665 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$341 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like Environment Canada and NOAA indicate a warm air mass over southern Ontario on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–29°C under partly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities near 44.5% for 29°C. Seasonal August averages hover around 25–27°C, but 2026's broader elevated temperature trend and recent model runs showing limited cloud cover or precipitation have nudged trader consensus toward the upper end of normal. Key variables include afternoon heating potential and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns, with official high-temperature observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$12,872結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like Environment Canada and NOAA indicate a warm air mass over southern Ontario on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–29°C under partly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities near 44.5% for 29°C. Seasonal August averages hover around 25–27°C, but 2026's broader elevated temperature trend and recent model runs showing limited cloud cover or precipitation have nudged trader consensus toward the upper end of normal. Key variables include afternoon heating potential and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns, with official high-temperature observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,872結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-term forecast models from agencies like Environment Canada and NOAA indicate a warm air mass over southern Ontario on August 5, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 28–29°C under partly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities near 44.5% for 29°C. Seasonal August averages hover around 25–27°C, but 2026's broader elevated temperature trend and recent model runs showing limited cloud cover or precipitation have nudged trader consensus toward the upper end of normal. Key variables include afternoon heating potential and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns, with official high-temperature observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions