Forecast consensus from models including those from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to a high in the mid-90s for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 46% and 96-97°F at 33.5%. Typical early-August patterns under a subtropical ridge feature highs near the seasonal 94-95°F average, with sea-breeze moderation and scattered moisture limiting extreme heat. Recent ensemble runs show slight cooling from late-July peaks, reducing odds of 98°F-plus outcomes while keeping lower bins below 12% combined. Official observations at stations like Hobby Airport will determine resolution, with minimal day-to-day variability expected absent tropical moisture shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
90-91°F 6%
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
90-91°F 6%
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from models including those from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to a high in the mid-90s for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 46% and 96-97°F at 33.5%. Typical early-August patterns under a subtropical ridge feature highs near the seasonal 94-95°F average, with sea-breeze moderation and scattered moisture limiting extreme heat. Recent ensemble runs show slight cooling from late-July peaks, reducing odds of 98°F-plus outcomes while keeping lower bins below 12% combined. Official observations at stations like Hobby Airport will determine resolution, with minimal day-to-day variability expected absent tropical moisture shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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