Official temperature records from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This reflects typical mid-winter conditions in the humid subtropical climate, where average August highs range 15–17°C and radiative cooling under clear skies often caps peaks near this level. Recent model guidance and station data showed no anomalous warming from northerly advection or urban heat effects that might push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official verified high; any post-event revision or alternate station reading differing by more than 1°C remains the only realistic, though improbable, scenario that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$49,083 交易量
$49,083 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$49,083 交易量
$49,083 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official temperature records from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This reflects typical mid-winter conditions in the humid subtropical climate, where average August highs range 15–17°C and radiative cooling under clear skies often caps peaks near this level. Recent model guidance and station data showed no anomalous warming from northerly advection or urban heat effects that might push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official verified high; any post-event revision or alternate station reading differing by more than 1°C remains the only realistic, though improbable, scenario that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions