Traders have converged on a 40°C high for Jeddah on August 6 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and numerical weather models consistently project a daytime maximum near this threshold amid typical August coastal conditions in the Red Sea region. High humidity, light winds, and clear skies support strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or monsoon influences that might moderate temperatures. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified observational baselines and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted sea breeze strengthening, a late model run revision lowering the peak by 1–2°C, or minor measurement differences at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月6日的最高溫度?
40°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$37,313 交易量
$37,313 交易量
32°C或以下
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C或更高
否
40°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$37,313 交易量
$37,313 交易量
32°C或以下
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 40°C high for Jeddah on August 6 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and numerical weather models consistently project a daytime maximum near this threshold amid typical August coastal conditions in the Red Sea region. High humidity, light winds, and clear skies support strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or monsoon influences that might moderate temperatures. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified observational baselines and model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted sea breeze strengthening, a late model run revision lowering the peak by 1–2°C, or minor measurement differences at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions