Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 76–77°F on August 13, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal overnight radiational cooling—factors that prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below despite clear skies. Historical August lows in New York City average near 69°F, but current atmospheric patterns produced warmer nights consistent with recent model consensus. Only an unexpected influx of cooler, drier air from a frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the resolution station could have altered the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
76-77°F 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$13,818 交易量
$13,818 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
華氏80度或以上
否
76-77°F 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$13,818 交易量
$13,818 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
$276 交易量
否
62-63°F
$276 交易量
否
64-65°F
$291 交易量
否
66-67°F
$937 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,038 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,362 交易量
否
72-73°F
$2,344 交易量
否
74-75°F
$4,106 交易量
否
76-77°F
$2,275 交易量
是
78-79°F
$615 交易量
否
華氏80度或以上
$298 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 76–77°F on August 13, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal overnight radiational cooling—factors that prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below despite clear skies. Historical August lows in New York City average near 69°F, but current atmospheric patterns produced warmer nights consistent with recent model consensus. Only an unexpected influx of cooler, drier air from a frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the resolution station could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$13,818結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 76–77°F on August 13, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal overnight radiational cooling—factors that prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below despite clear skies. Historical August lows in New York City average near 69°F, but current atmospheric patterns produced warmer nights consistent with recent model consensus. Only an unexpected influx of cooler, drier air from a frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the resolution station could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,818結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 76–77°F on August 13, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal overnight radiational cooling—factors that prevented temperatures from dropping into the low 70s or below despite clear skies. Historical August lows in New York City average near 69°F, but current atmospheric patterns produced warmer nights consistent with recent model consensus. Only an unexpected influx of cooler, drier air from a frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the resolution station could have altered the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions